  Second International Workshop 'Development of near-term climate scenarios (2020-2035) for vulnerable watersheds to climatic variability at the interanual, decadal and climate change time scales'Cartagena, Colombia, August 18-21 2015General Objective The objective of this activity is to develop probabilistic scenarios for near-term climatic conditions for vulnerable pilot watersheds in Latin America, based on a historical analysis of climatic variability, combined with an assessment of current and projected sensitivity to climate change. Linked to decision support models, such as WEAP, these near-term climatic scenarios will inform about possible future vulnerabilities in the water supply in these water-stressed environments. Specific ObjectivesSpecifically, the workshop contributes to: a) capacity building of early-career professionals on the application of Near Term Climate Change Scenario Analysis for applications in hydrology and drought vulnerability analysis; b) training on the available open source software options (R-scripts and Python); c) increase the number of specialists in the region that are trained in the methodology; d) generate a set of preliminary pilot basin case studies in the region that applied the methodology; and e) determine the vulnerability of inter-annual and decadal variability, as well as climate change impact on water resources in pilot basins in the region. 
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Programme
Day 2: Training of the use of methodologies, using case studies
Day 3: Individual work of the participants´ national databases with supervision of the instructors
Day 4: Individual work of the participants´ national datebases with supervision of the instructors
References(1) Greene, A.M., M. Hellmuth, and J.W. Hansen. 2012a. A framework for the simulation of regional decadal variability for agricultural and other applications. CCAFS Report. International Research Institute for Climate and Society. (2) Greene, A.M. 2012. The simgen software package: User guide and notes. International Research Institute for Climate and Society. (3) Greene, A.M., M. Hellmuth, and T. Lumsden. 2012b. Stochastic decadal climate simulations for the Berg and Breede Water Management Areas, Western Cape province, South Africa. Water Resour Res 48:W06504. |
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MWAR LAC - Managing Water Resources in Arid and Semi-Arid Regions of Latin America and the Caribbean